Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.020982 0.022569 0.024219 0.026064 0.028071 0.030190 0.032599
2026-01-04 0.018321 0.020600 0.023091 0.026024 0.029389 0.033139 0.037647
2026-01-11 0.016634 0.019325 0.022379 0.026113 0.030576 0.035760 0.042269
2026-01-18 0.015356 0.018315 0.021774 0.026140 0.031533 0.038016 0.046459
2026-01-25 0.014409 0.017575 0.021374 0.026299 0.032562 0.040320 0.050755
2026-02-01 0.013427 0.016697 0.020708 0.026032 0.032975 0.041808 0.054032
2026-02-08 0.012515 0.015832 0.019981 0.025605 0.033108 0.042884 0.056771
2026-02-15 0.011819 0.015190 0.019485 0.025420 0.033510 0.044291 0.059987
2026-02-22 0.011167 0.014561 0.018958 0.025146 0.033746 0.045451 0.062889
2026-03-01 0.010615 0.014030 0.018524 0.024957 0.034066 0.046712 0.065973
2026-03-08 0.010118 0.013543 0.018118 0.024771 0.034360 0.047928 0.069031
2026-03-15 0.009747 0.013208 0.017898 0.024826 0.034983 0.049627 0.072883
2026-03-22 0.009309 0.012774 0.017538 0.024688 0.035360 0.051046 0.076503
2026-03-29 0.008932 0.012409 0.017259 0.024655 0.035892 0.052729 0.080658
2026-04-05 0.008620 0.012120 0.017071 0.024740 0.036595 0.054699 0.085386
2026-04-12 0.008315 0.011824 0.016856 0.024765 0.037197 0.056531 0.089992
2026-04-19 0.008067 0.011599 0.016731 0.024915 0.037990 0.058698 0.095286
2026-04-26 0.007729 0.011225 0.016363 0.024663 0.038123 0.059791 0.098808
2026-05-03 0.007376 0.010811 0.015915 0.024262 0.037985 0.060419 0.101540
2026-05-10 0.007102 0.010507 0.015622 0.024089 0.038205 0.061647 0.105403
2026-05-17 0.006826 0.010186 0.015287 0.023830 0.038265 0.062594 0.108807
2026-05-24 0.006584 0.009911 0.015012 0.023653 0.038446 0.063753 0.112664
2026-05-31 0.006358 0.009649 0.014747 0.023478 0.038619 0.064897 0.116557